Still, that shrinking margin could prove to be a reflection of Republican enthusiasm catching up to Democrats, who have been incensed by President Donald Trump this midterm season – a season that usually sees a drop in turnout among Democratic voters, who tend to be younger and less engaged than their Republican counterparts.īut the fear for Democrats probably isn’t low turnout.Ĭompetitive House races in the state are likely to force a swell of support in those races, and even where races aren’t competitive – say, in the heavily-blue first district or the Parts of Essex County that fall outside of the 11th district – are likely to see high turnout as a result of operations by the machines of get-out-the-vote gurus like Rep. Independents are pickings sides, so that’s kind of what we see regardless of the specifics of the race.” “That’s always going to happen as we’re approaching election day,” Eagleton Poll Director Ashley Koning said of the tightening margin. The Real Clear Politics average has Menendez up by 7.7%.
Quinnipiac and Monmouth University polls released last week pegged the incumbent’s lead at seven and nine points, respectively. 3 to a much less comfortable five points in a Rutgers-Eagleton poll released early Wednesday morning.
#Menendez vs hugin on the issues trial#
While the result of a New Jersey Senate race would typically be foregone conclusion, Menendez’s vulnerability over ethics issues that continue to hound the senator almost a year after the jury his corruption trial reached a deadlock have moved a typically safe seat into the competitive column.Īnd while polls showed the senator with a sizeable lead near the start of October, the race has narrowed over the past weeks, with Menendez’s lead over his challenger shrinking from a hefty 11 points in a Quinnipiac University poll released Oct. “Those are the two people who are not in the room who we’re going to hear the most about tonight” “I expect to hear a lot about Trump, and I expect to hear a lot about Melgen, Rasmussen said. “You are either concerned about Bob Menendez’s ethics problems, or you are concerned that Hugin is going to be a vote for Trump. The issues really are straightforward, and the issues that are salient to voters are really straightforward,” said Rebovich Institute Director Micah Rasmussen. “In some ways this race is really a case of what you see is what you get. There’s little question in what to expect, as the candidates’ respective campaigns have been almost laser-focused in their messaging – almost all of which has been negative – up until this point. Senator Bob Menendez and Bob Hugin will meet for their only debate of the cycle at 8 PM tonight. With less than two weeks to go before polls open, U.S.
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